{"id":5710,"date":"2022-10-09T17:39:22","date_gmt":"2022-10-09T16:39:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/?p=5710"},"modified":"2022-10-09T17:47:29","modified_gmt":"2022-10-09T16:47:29","slug":"polls-polls-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/?p=5710","title":{"rendered":"Polls, polls, polls…."},"content":{"rendered":"\n

It’s been a while since I’ve posted any polling info. With all the media hoo-hah about the “surge” in support for Labour I thought I’d have a look to see how what’s happening here in Scotland compares with down South. Clue? It doesn’t. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Current Prediction for Scottish Westminster seats <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Tories are completely routed from 6 seats to none. SNP would take three Conservative seats – Andrew Bowie, Alister Jack and Douglas Ross. 😆 They would also take a Jamie Stone’s Libdem seat in Caithness. And they’d lose Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath to Labour. Overall SNP gain 4 seats to take them to 52. Labour gain 4 seats to take them to 5. LibDems lose 2 seats to take them to 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The recent shift in Scotland:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Labour have gone up 9 points to 31% which is the highest level of support recorded by YouGov since they collapsed in 2015. Tories are down 7 points to 12%. But SNP are pretty well untouched, down by only 1 point at 45%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

There has been a gradual increase in Westminster voting intention for Labour since Boris Johnson took over in 2019. And clearly, Liz Truss has given them a significant boost in just a few weeks of being PM.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
From Electoral Calculushttps:\/\/www.electoralcalculus.co.uk\/polls_scot.html<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile in UK as a whole:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

That translates into a landslide, a massive landslide for Labour. A Labour majority of 292! This is from Electoral Calculus Poll of Polls <\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Eight current ministers would lose their seats, including Rees-Mogg and Alister Jack. And Boris Johnson, Ian Duncan-Smith and Grant Shapps would also be out of Parliament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Conclusion? Scotland is a different country<\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It’s been a while since I’ve posted any polling info. With all the media hoo-hah about the “surge” in support for Labour I thought I’d have a look to see how what’s happening here in Scotland compares with down South. Clue? It doesn’t. Current Prediction for Scottish Westminster seats Tories are completely routed from 6 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5716,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[302,345,346,344],"class_list":["post-5710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-electoral-calculus","tag-scottish-polls","tag-tories-routed-in-scotland","tag-yougov"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5710","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5710"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5710\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5725,"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5710\/revisions\/5725"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5716"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5710"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5710"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weegiefifer.scot\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5710"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}